Il declino della potenza americana e la transizione egemonica nel pacifico

This article focuses on the Sino-American power transition and its implications for international stability. First, it provides a theoretical background to the concept of power transition. Second, it looks at some economic and military data to see whether China is overtaking the US. Third, the article takes a closer look at the conflicting maritime claims in the East China Sea, South China Sea, and Taiwan, with an eye at the strategic and military balance. The article argues that China's economy is overtaking the American one, but China, despite decades-long buildup of strategic and conventional military forces, cannot militarily compete with the US. Whether or not the rivalry will escalate further during the next decades remains an open question.